Working papers, briefs, and reports
Rigorous, citable research designed to feed real decisions. Our catalogue grows as the Lab develops its flagship indices and framework series.
Institutional Readiness Score — Methodology & Validation
The methodology behind the flagship diagnostic: an anchored scoring rubric across the seven pillars of the Prevention Architecture, and an out-of-time validation in which global pandemic preparedness, scored on pre-2020 evidence alone, produced a profile that anticipated the specific shape of the 2020 response failure.
Strategic Risk Outlook No. 1 — The Regulatory Lag Is the Risk
The inaugural monthly brief analysing one emerging risk through the Prevention Architecture. It argues that the widening gap between what AI systems can do and what institutions can govern — the EU AI Act's postponed obligations, US deregulatory drift, and the normalisation of synthetic media — is the prevention problem in its purest form, and sets out what earlier action would require.
Prevention Architecture: A Body of Work
An overview of the Prevention Architecture: a seven-pillar framework — strategic awareness, political incentives, institutional capacity, financing, public legitimacy, technology, and implementation — and the diagnostic toolkit built on it, unified by a single method: translating strategic complexity into executive judgement.
Technology Platforms, Public Good & Preventive Governance
A policy brief surveying what major platforms invested in across content enforcement, transparency, election integrity, and AI governance from 2020–2026 — and showing that platform public policy is optimised for detection and response, not anticipation. It maps the gap to the seven pillars and presents four scenarios for platform governance to 2035.
The Public Goods Contribution Index — Concept Note
Sets out the argument for measuring the missing half of the economy: not how responsibly an institution operates, but how much societal capability it creates. It redefines public goods for the AI century, introduces the concept of preventive public goods, and derives the PGCI's measurement framework from that foundation.
The Architecture of Delay
The foundational paper of the Prevention Architecture. It grounds preventive governance in established theory — bounded rationality, blame avoidance, the prevention paradox, and anticipatory governance — to explain why institutions act late on predictable crises, why their successes stay invisible, and how governance can be redesigned around anticipation.
A direct line to our research
A periodic note for policy practitioners and institutional leaders — new frameworks, index releases, and analysis on preventive governance. No noise.