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Methodology

How we read a country.

Each country observatory uses the same six broad areas. Public data and editorial assessment are shown separately, with sources and limits stated on the page.

Observed Capacity Index · OCI

What the data show

OCI uses comparable public data. Each score identifies its source, year and comparison group. If the data are missing or too weak, we do not publish a score.

Assessed Capacity Judgment · ACJ

What the evidence suggests

ACJ is our assessment of evidence that cannot be reduced to a reliable public indicator. Each judgment includes sources, a confidence level and a short explanation.

The two readings are not combined.

A data score and an editorial judgment are different things. We show them beside one another, but never average them into one number.

Common framework

Six areas in every country dashboard

The common areas make comparison easier. Each dashboard also keeps country-specific sections that explain what the shared framework may miss.

01

Economic conversion

Whether growth and scale become broad employment and productivity.

02

Public-goods delivery

Health, education, energy reliability, water and other shared services.

03

Institutional capacity

Fiscal room, administrative delivery and state effectiveness.

04

Shock resilience

Capacity to absorb climate, fiscal, food and supply-chain shocks.

05

Civic and information integrity

Civic space, press freedom and the information environment.

06

External conversion

Whether external leverage and commitments become delivered outcomes.

How to read the scores

Four simple rules

A score is relative

OCI scores place a country within a stated comparison group. They are not grades, forecasts or policy targets.

Level and direction are different

The score describes the current reading. The arrow shows whether the evidence appears to be improving, stable, weakening or mixed.

Dates matter

The review date tells you when we last checked the dashboard. The source year tells you when the underlying evidence was collected.

Uncertainty stays visible

Each reading carries a confidence level or limitation. We leave a score blank when the available evidence does not support one.

Sources

Every score links to its main source. Where available, we also provide downloadable data and notes explaining how the reading was made.

Status

Pilot means the method or data are still being tested. A review date shows when the evidence and presentation were last checked.

Corrections

We correct factual errors and revise interpretations when the evidence changes. Important changes are noted rather than silently overwritten.

Read editorial standards →