Conflict15
15← South Sudan ObservatoryArchive
OCI means Observed Capacity Index · ACJ means Assessed Capacity Judgment
Country intelligence / public-value conversion
South Sudan Observatory
Connects political settlement, humanitarian conditions, oil dependence, flooding, food insecurity and local institutional capacity.
01 / South Sudan Observatory country lens
Power, capacity
and conversion.
Whether preventive finance and accountable local institutions can interrupt the cycle linking political fragmentation, climate shocks and displacement.
Food12
12Climate19
19Institutions24
24Strategic reach29
29Public capacity15
15Shock resilience10
10Institutional trust6
6System synthesis
Fragility across every buffer
02 / Issue signals
What to watch
03 / Framing tracker
How the system
is being read.
These are competing interpretations, not additional scores.
Tracks the policy claim, institutional owner and public-value consequence attached to this frame.
DominantTracks the policy claim, institutional owner and public-value consequence attached to this frame.
DominantTracks the policy claim, institutional owner and public-value consequence attached to this frame.
RisingTracks the policy claim, institutional owner and public-value consequence attached to this frame.
RisingTracks the policy claim, institutional owner and public-value consequence attached to this frame.
EmergingSupplementary method + sources
How to read the barometer.
- The common method is shown above this preserved prototype.
- The readings here are editorial hypotheses, not observed percentiles.
- Signals, frames and sources remain useful country context outside the index.
Legacy status: no current OCI or ACJ score is published for this country. The displayed values are retained only to make the earlier analytical experiment auditable.
01
Economic capacityWorld Bank Data
↗02Growth, trade, debt, population and development indicators
Security pressureSIPRI
↗03Military expenditure, arms transfers and security burden
Democratic institutionsV-Dem
↗04Electoral, liberal and participatory democracy series
Rights and freedomsFreedom House
↗05Political rights and civil-liberties assessments
Press environmentReporters Without Borders
↗06Press-freedom conditions and methodology
Social wellbeingUNDP
↗07Human development, inequality and capability indicators
Country evidenceOCHA South Sudan
↗08Official or specialist country source
Country evidenceUNHCR operational data
↗09Official or specialist country source
Country evidenceIPC food security
↗Official or specialist country source
Common method
How to read
this country case.
Six dimensions organize the evidence for South Sudan Observatory. Country-specific signals and sources appear in the dashboard above.
FULL METHODOLOGY ↗01Economic conversion
02Public-goods delivery
03Institutional capacity
04Shock resilience
05Civic and information integrity
06External conversion
Observed Capacity Index (OCI)Comparable public data, scored only when indicators, years and peer groups are disclosed.
Assessed Capacity Judgment (ACJ)Editorial interpretation, kept separate from observed data and presented with sources and caveats.