{ "release": "2026Q3", "status": "prototype", "country": { "slug": "india", "iso3": "IND", "name": "India" }, "pipelineRun": "2026-08-23T16:19:56.955Z", "methodologyVersion": "0.2.0", "observedCapacityIndex": { "score": 50, "dimensions": [ { "name": "Growth", "score": 66, "weight": 12.5, "narrative": "India is growing faster than most countries, but income per person and manufacturing depth remain much closer to the global middle.", "rationale": "Measures current expansion, productive depth and income capacity rather than headline growth alone.", "status": "calculated", "coverage": { "available": 3, "total": 3, "ratio": 1 }, "confidence": "high", "observationYears": { "oldest": 2025, "newest": 2025 }, "indicators": [ { "code": "NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG", "label": "GDP growth", "unit": "% annual", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.4, "status": "available", "value": 7.56666179284244, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 93, "comparatorCount": 210, "prior": { "value": 9.68959249191741, "year": 2021, "change": -2.1229306990749697 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=IN" }, { "code": "NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD", "label": "GDP per capita, PPP", "unit": "constant 2021 international $", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.35, "status": "available", "value": 10039.0708910587, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 32, "comparatorCount": 199, "prior": { "value": 7818.65701757504, "year": 2021, "change": 2220.4138734836597 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD?locations=IN" }, { "code": "NV.IND.MANF.ZS", "label": "Manufacturing value added", "unit": "% of GDP", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.25, "status": "available", "value": 13.4710550684648, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 71, "comparatorCount": 194, "prior": { "value": 14.3770288531286, "year": 2021, "change": -0.9059737846638001 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=IN" } ] }, { "name": "Employment conversion", "score": 38, "weight": 12.5, "narrative": "Fast growth is not yet producing equally broad participation in secure work, especially when employment and labour-force participation are compared internationally.", "rationale": "Tests whether economic scale is translating into participation and broad access to work.", "status": "calculated", "coverage": { "available": 3, "total": 3, "ratio": 1 }, "confidence": "high", "observationYears": { "oldest": 2025, "newest": 2025 }, "indicators": [ { "code": "SL.EMP.TOTL.SP.ZS", "label": "Employment-to-population ratio", "unit": "% ages 15+", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.4, "status": "available", "value": 53.31, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 32, "comparatorCount": 187, "prior": { "value": 49.171, "year": 2021, "change": 4.139000000000003 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.EMP.TOTL.SP.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "SL.TLF.CACT.ZS", "label": "Labour-force participation", "unit": "% ages 15+", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.35, "status": "available", "value": 55.658, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 27, "comparatorCount": 187, "prior": { "value": 52.522, "year": 2021, "change": 3.136000000000003 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.TLF.CACT.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS", "label": "Unemployment", "unit": "% of labour force", "direction": -1, "weight": 0.25, "status": "available", "value": 4.219, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 62, "comparatorCount": 187, "prior": { "value": 6.38, "year": 2021, "change": -2.1609999999999996 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?locations=IN" } ] }, { "name": "Public goods", "score": 34, "weight": 12.5, "narrative": "Electricity access is nearly universal, but health spending, longevity and internet use reveal a more uneven everyday experience.", "rationale": "Combines essential service access, health outcomes and the digital capability needed to use public systems.", "status": "calculated", "coverage": { "available": 4, "total": 4, "ratio": 1 }, "confidence": "high", "observationYears": { "oldest": 2023, "newest": 2025 }, "indicators": [ { "code": "SP.DYN.LE00.IN", "label": "Life expectancy", "unit": "years", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.35, "status": "available", "value": 72.235, "year": 2024, "normalizedScore": 37, "comparatorCount": 217, "prior": { "value": 70.156, "year": 2020, "change": 2.0789999999999935 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN?locations=IN" }, { "code": "EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS", "label": "Access to electricity", "unit": "% of population", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.25, "status": "available", "value": 99.9, "year": 2024, "normalizedScore": 43, "comparatorCount": 215, "prior": { "value": 96.5, "year": 2020, "change": 3.4000000000000057 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "IT.NET.USER.ZS", "label": "Individuals using the internet", "unit": "% of population", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.25, "status": "available", "value": 70, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 35, "comparatorCount": 190, "prior": { "value": 49.2580986, "year": 2021, "change": 20.741901400000003 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IT.NET.USER.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS", "label": "Current health expenditure", "unit": "% of GDP", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.15, "status": "available", "value": 3.33944035, "year": 2023, "normalizedScore": 11, "comparatorCount": 193, "prior": { "value": 2.95299792, "year": 2019, "change": 0.3864424299999998 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS?locations=IN" } ] }, { "name": "Shock resilience", "score": 60, "weight": 12.5, "narrative": "Strong national savings and moderate inflation provide buffers, while relatively limited trade integration narrows some routes to recovery.", "rationale": "Uses fiscal, trade and savings buffers as an initial measure of capacity to absorb external shocks.", "status": "calculated", "coverage": { "available": 3, "total": 3, "ratio": 1 }, "confidence": "high", "observationYears": { "oldest": 2025, "newest": 2025 }, "indicators": [ { "code": "NY.GNS.ICTR.ZS", "label": "Gross savings", "unit": "% of GDP", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.4, "status": "available", "value": 34.6967494989384, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 86, "comparatorCount": 162, "prior": { "value": 29.8661330649563, "year": 2021, "change": 4.830616433982101 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNS.ICTR.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS", "label": "Trade openness", "unit": "% of GDP", "direction": 1, "weight": 0.25, "status": "available", "value": 46.2682006859907, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 17, "comparatorCount": 184, "prior": { "value": 45.4230887840446, "year": 2021, "change": 0.8451119019460975 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS?locations=IN" }, { "code": "FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG", "label": "Inflation", "unit": "% annual", "direction": -1, "weight": 0.35, "status": "available", "value": 2.39884954182294, "year": 2025, "normalizedScore": 60, "comparatorCount": 184, "prior": { "value": 5.13140747176364, "year": 2021, "change": -2.7325579299407 }, "sourceName": "World Bank Open Data", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG?locations=IN" } ] } ] }, "assessedCapacityJudgment": { "score": 56, "dimensions": [ { "name": "Strategic reach", "score": 66, "weight": 12.5, "inputs": "Lowy Asia Power Index; MEA partnership record", "narrative": "India has more diplomatic choices and international influence than before, but influence does not always translate into sustained delivery.", "rationale": "Expanding diplomatic and minilateral reach, with uneven implementation across the neighbourhood.", "status": "editorial", "confidence": "editorial review", "coverage": null }, { "name": "Federal delivery", "score": 55, "weight": 12.5, "inputs": "MOSPI state-level series; programme implementation evidence", "narrative": "Some states deliver services and investment effectively while others lag, making the national picture highly uneven.", "rationale": "Strong delivery in some states, but wide subnational variation limits the national reading.", "status": "editorial", "confidence": "editorial review", "coverage": null }, { "name": "Regional public goods", "score": 58, "weight": 12.5, "inputs": "MEA project record; regional connectivity implementation", "narrative": "India supplies infrastructure, finance and emergency support in its region, although delays and political mistrust limit the benefit.", "rationale": "India supplies growing regional capacity, though delivery and trust remain uneven.", "status": "editorial", "confidence": "editorial review", "coverage": null }, { "name": "Civic space", "score": 43, "weight": 12.5, "inputs": "V-Dem; Freedom House; RSF", "narrative": "Elections remain competitive, but pressure on independent media, civil society and dissent weakens the space for public scrutiny.", "rationale": "Competitive politics persists alongside documented pressure on rights and the press environment.", "status": "editorial", "confidence": "editorial review", "coverage": null } ] }, "legacyMixedComposite": { "score": 53, "status": "deprecated", "reason": "Observed percentiles and editorial judgments must not be averaged." }, "caveats": [ "Comparator universes vary by indicator in this transitional release.", "Several flow indicators use a single-year value rather than a trailing mean.", "Electricity access is saturated and unemployment can misread low labour-force participation.", "The fixed six-dimension core is not yet fully implemented." ] }